Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 921.476650 1036.569610 1161.852680 1308.577977 1475.986133 1661.362762 1882.633086
2026-01-25 753.337447 912.451789 1100.259021 1339.281003 1636.798765 1996.745920 2467.948384
2026-02-01 654.166132 833.839157 1058.188909 1360.952467 1761.980520 2279.267843 3004.009697
2026-02-08 581.440669 771.940840 1020.783887 1372.922662 1863.675642 2531.124421 3520.877517
2026-02-15 526.887274 724.235157 992.175686 1387.205923 1962.659216 2782.583210 4061.297751
2026-02-22 486.948958 690.352078 976.210144 1413.498008 2076.606750 3062.469954 4673.150071
2026-03-01 437.318219 636.625624 925.158571 1380.854495 2096.464267 3200.803686 5080.771310
2026-03-08 392.623603 585.254987 871.638864 1337.152690 2091.739661 3296.554222 5426.614224
2026-03-15 354.526452 540.028499 822.618207 1294.314535 2081.723651 3379.459417 5756.667294
2026-03-22 339.642210 529.109773 825.155943 1333.220705 2207.956356 3698.797297 6534.907187
2026-03-29 321.793088 511.702362 815.417144 1350.137750 2297.483399 3963.298348 7246.547127
2026-04-05 303.547859 491.972389 799.898331 1355.138596 2365.619086 4195.613024 7925.920940
2026-04-12 286.173092 472.681569 784.115328 1359.273337 2434.670890 4441.161254 8673.771899
2026-04-19 275.095814 463.206376 784.278628 1391.912589 2560.003971 4807.569078 9720.550173
2026-04-26 263.380744 451.565081 779.464729 1414.539535 2668.014281 5151.850848 10770.424575
2026-05-03 251.170330 438.000893 769.932590 1427.030718 2756.876351 5467.065331 11802.642988
2026-05-10 240.333333 426.021506 762.183551 1441.935880 2851.646416 5804.703477 12935.503651
2026-05-17 232.003880 417.972504 760.975381 1469.374468 2974.807692 6216.708140 14305.705958
2026-05-24 216.633183 395.564835 730.744369 1435.307827 2963.545798 6331.976485 14973.062244
2026-05-31 201.190286 371.945883 696.418210 1389.706303 2922.346498 6374.531224 15463.703575
2026-06-07 187.103738 350.019172 663.857390 1345.012251 2878.628051 6406.119172 15930.846587
2026-06-14 183.362822 348.119163 670.975617 1385.603710 3032.046542 6920.595293 17762.131778
2026-06-21 177.410310 341.377480 667.741954 1403.255158 3134.074628 7323.069917 19355.276912